Personally, as much as i hate to face it, i think so. Everyone before the first two world wars thought that humans had reached "enlightenment" and would not fight again on a global scale. So for me the arguments that "we have evolved beyond war" or "we are too technologically advanced and interconnected" or "commerce will suffer" are not valid in discussions of "Realpolitik".
Friction points of note, largely left out of western media: The Putinites vs. the Ukraine. Recently the Putinites showed they still knew how to shoot in Georgia. As a side note, when google earth first came out i said "cool" and took a look at Petropavlovsk. The old soviet ssbn's were in an obvious state of disrepair (rust) and lashed together 5 and 6 deep side by side to their moorings. About a year or two ago, they were "cleaner" and showed signs of having been moved around. Now many are gone leaving behind orderly docks. The Putinites have been having some fun with their assets, running MiG's into western Naval drills, overflights of American Naval assets and other assorted provocations. They appear to me getting bolder by the day and (the Ukraine's) Tymschenko is calling for revolution from her jail cell. Will the people of the Ukraine revolt and the Putinites step in to keep their catspaw in power? Stay tuned to that channel.
The S. Koreans and Japan have recently had a tiff over territory but it reached a higher angst level with the S. Korean President calling for a Japanese apology over WWII war crimes (comfort women). What is clear from western media is that S. Korea demanded that the Emperor deliver the apology, however what is missed in the papers i have read is that they demanded that the Emperor kneel. I have this on good account from a Japanese friend and they are terribly upset over the demand. China publicly calls for restraint and calm while driving wedges between the Japanese and the S. Koreans under the table (response to the "Asian Pivot").
The Paki's and India have their own problems in Kashmir and any surrounding conflict will likely cause them to try and settle old scores
As far as the middle east goes,.. I'll just say that since WWII it has never been a good omen when Egyptian tanks and troops are moved into the Sinai (straddling the Suez with firepower in case they decide to close it). Iran's greasy fingers are all over the ferment in the middle east. The If and or when they go nuclear question rises to the level of any crisis most people alive today can remember. Allowing a baby state like Iran to have a nuke is like giving a toddler a six shooter. The US and other western powers are morally obligated to stop them. The consequences of appeasement here will be devastating.
Mexico just had it's second largest city held hostage by cartels including most of the state of Jalisco (more than 20 simultaneous roadblocks) which includes a significant European/American/Canadian/Japanese retirement community at Lake Chapala. Leading me to comment about local/internal security...
We now have enought 5th columns to support a roof; La Raza-Mecha, the NBPP, OWS, and the followers of the prophet. These people need to be held accountable for their loyalties, swear loyalty to the US first, and if you are not willing to do so, face deportation to somewhere that agrees with you. Europe had best watch their immigrant populations as the middle east heats up. There is no Geneva convention to many of the players in this game
To paraphrase Winchell or Cronkite "History's terrible geography lesson is about to begin."
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